US retail imports near record pace despite port congestion: NRF

Imports at congested US container ports are expected to remain at near-record levels for the remainder of the year as retailers rush to move merchandise from docks to shelves in time to meet the expectations of holiday shoppers, according to the monthly Global Port Tracker report released by the National Retail Federation and Hackett Associates.

“Dockworkers are unloading ships as fast as they can, but the challenge is to move the containers out of the ports to make room for the next ship,” NRF vice president for supply chain and customs policy Jonathan Gold said in a press release.

“We need better empty return procedures and more chassis, truck drivers, rail capacity and warehouse workers to keep the system moving. Retailers have enough inventory on hand to make sure shoppers won’t go home empty-handed this holiday season. But there are still items sitting on the docks or waiting on ships that need to make it to store shelves and online sellers’ warehouses. Retailers want to make sure customers have product choices,” he said.

More than 70 ships were reported waiting to dock at the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach last week, and the wait at Los Angeles has averaged two weeks over the past month. Those delays, in turn, can push back the vessels’ arrival at other ports on their schedules. Some carriers have announced plans to divert to other locations, but congestion is building nationwide.

“The once-vaunted supply chain continues to come under pressure from all sides,” Hackett Associates founder Ben Hackett said, citing issues ranging from port congestion in the United States to electrical shortages impacting production in China.

“It does not look like the congestion will improve any time soon, with most commentators suggesting problems will continue well into 2022–and that is assuming COVID-19 does not spike again,” Hackett added.

Congestion and disruptions that began in 2020 have continued through the current ‘peak season’ for shipping when retailers normally stock up for the holidays, but many retailers anticipated the challenge and began bringing in holiday goods months ahead of schedule to be sure sufficient inventory would be available. NRF has forecast that holiday sales will grow between 8.5 per cent and 10.5 per cent over 2020.

US ports covered by tracker handled 2.14 million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEU) in September, the latest month for which final numbers are available. That was down by 5.9 per cent from August but up by 1.4 per cent year over year.

Ports have not reported October numbers yet, but the tracker projected the month at 2.19 million TEU, down by 1.2 per cent from October 2020.

The first half of 2021 totaled 12.8 million TEU, up by 35.6 per cent from the same period last year. For the full year, 2021 is on track to total 26 million TEU, up by 17.9 per cent over 2020 and a new annual record topping last year’s 22 million TEU. Cargo imports during 2020 were up by 1.9 per cent over 2019 despite the pandemic.

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